Solomon Hsiang

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A deserted Millennium Bridge in London

locks have More Than three million the life of coronavirus in Europe, it is estimated saved, a study.

The Team at Imperial College London said, "the Death Toll would have been huge," with no Lockdown .

But they warned that only a small proportion of people were infected, and we were always only at the beginning of the pandemic".

another study argues global locks have had to be saved", more life, in a shorter amount of time than ever before".

The Imperial study evaluates the impact of restrictions in 11 European Countries - Austria , Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom to the beginning of may.

up to this time, around 130 000 people died of Corona Virus in these Countries .

The researchers used the disease modeling to predict how many deaths would not have occurred if the Lockdown happens. And The Work comes from the same group, the go in the UK, the decision to be in Lockdown .

an estimated 3. 2 million people would not have died by 4 to tell if measures such as the closure of businesses and the people to stay At Home .

this meant That Lockdown is saved to 3. 1 million people, including 470,000 in the UK, 690,000 in France and approximately 630,000 in Italy

"Lockdown averted millions of deaths, the death would have been cases of a tragedy," said Dr. Seth Flaxman, of The Imperial .

your equations from several assumptions, the influence on the figures.

you assume no one would cases changed their behaviour, the not be overwhelmed in response to the Covid threat without a Lockdown and hospitals would, resulting in a rise in the death, which nearly happened in some Countries .

The study has also not taken into account and the consequences for the health of locks, which can take years to discover fully.

Only the beginning?

The Model also has predicted that the outbreak would have been infected almost over by now, without a Lockdown , as so many people.

More Than seven out of 10 people in the UK have Covid, which spread to the herd immunity, and The Virus .

Instead, the researchers estimate that up to 15 million people in Europe infected was from the beginning of may.

The researchers say that a maximum of 4% of the population were infected in these Countries .

"Claims, this can all be over, firmly rejected. We Are only at the beginning of the pandemic," said Dr. Flaxman.

And it means that the lock lift have to begin, there is the danger of The Virus , she could again.

"It's a very real danger, if the mobility goes back up it could be a second wave to come, reasonably soon, in The Next month or two," said Dr. Samir Bhatt.

Meanwhile, another study by the University of California, Berkeley, analyzed the impact of locks in China, South Korea , Iran, France and the USA.

your report says Lockdown -prevents 530 million infections in those Countries .

have a short time before locks were introduced, they said, were the cases is doubling every Two Days .

Dr. Solomon Hsiang , one of the researchers, said the coronavirus was a "real human tragedy", but to stop global action the spread of The Virus had saved "more lives, in less time than ever before".

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Source of news: bbc.com