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US-China trade deal: winners and losers

Feb 16,2020 10:08 am

Xi Jinping and Donald Trump in the Year 2017

After More Than two years, the tension, the United States and China have signed a deal aimed at soothing trade friction. The agreement was hard fought, But it is unclear how much economic relief from their trade is offer war.

prices - to stay, in some cases, a lower interest rate on the spot. Analysts say it is unlikely to produce The Deal , the sufficient gains to outweigh That suffered the losses already.

We take a look at The Winners and losers from The Deal .

Winner : Donald Trump

Some critics say it is little substance, But the drawing provides an opportunity for US President Donald Trump in the trade war and is entitled to a performance heading, in the 2020 presidential election.

This can be a relief: polls show That most Americans agree with The President That China trades unfairly, But they generally support free trade and against tariffs. In fact, the Republicans, several Congress lost to seats in 2018

Winner : President Xi Jinping

China seems to be the signing of an agreement to conditions which it offered early in The Process , including the easing of market access for U.S. financial and Auto companies. In many cases, companies from other countries are already benefiting from the changes.

While President Xi claim he is not required to simply bow to America, which means That the Chinese celebrate. the economy of China has a 0. 25% match, as the US demand for its goods fell by about a third.

losers: The American business and consumers in The United States has collected More Than $40bn in the new tariffs

The new offer halves tariffs Will remain at $120 billion worth of goods, But most of the higher duties to a further $360bn of Chinese goods and More Than $100bn worth of US exports. And this is Bad News for The American public.

Economists have found That the costs due to wear of More Than $40bn so Far completely. And to measure That the figure try once, lost business due to reprisals.

Overall, the tariff-related uncertainties, and costs 0 shaved. A discount of 3% from US Economic Growth , while reducing household income by an average of $580 since 2018.

The CBO estimates take into account all of the new duties, saying in January 2018 - not only China, But analysts, That 's a restricted view would lead to similar results.

losers: farmers and manufacturers manufacturers exposed to, the duties were.

The New Deal hurt committed China to increase purchases in the manufacturing, services, agriculture, and energy from 2017 levels by $200 billion over two years

Mr Trump has said That $50 billion worth of agricultural goods a Year could.

But the official figures are low, analysts are skeptical That is achievable, and China has said the purchases Will depend on the demand of the market. So Far , the primary impact on the business activities was pain.

the farmers, who are already in the sights of China's tariffs That have seen bankruptcies, and a $28bn bailout.

Under manufacturer, employment losses from the higher import costs, and China's retaliation.

Over the long term, American companies can avoid the redirection of supply chains away from China, the tariffs - But That is an expensive affair.

Winner : Taiwan/Vietnam/Mexico-Ho Chi Minh City in Southern Vietnam , the country's most important manufacturing region

in the World, economists estimate That the trade shaved was. But some countries have benefited from the fights, the Will be Redirected .

identifies Vietnam as the country would benefit The Most , while, Taiwan, Mexico and Vietnam, orders, ramp-up saw US last Year .

That the increased American imports, strengthened Mexico's Economic Growth of just over 0. 2%,

Some of these schemes are likely to stick, even with a deal.

losers: Washington the China critic Trump consultant Peter Navarro has been using it for a tough stance against China,

The US said That China has decided to new measures of protection for intellectual property, including a lowering of the threshold for the law enforcement and increasing the penalties. It was crucial That the Two Sides say they have agreed a way of resolving such disputes.

These were among the issues That allegedly was the trigger for the trade.

But analysts say it is not clear whether the new obligations are not promises That of China. And the new offer does not address some of America's chief complaints about China's trade practices - such as subsidies for certain industries.

The White house has said it Will tackle additional problems, not to say in a second "phase two" deal, But analysts That they expect something concrete in the near future. The administration has also discussed, such as the address, the subsidies, with Japan and Europe .



trump tariffs, china-us relations, xi jinping, donald trump

Source of news: bbc.com

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