Nantwich photograph

Nantwich

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Weather16°C, Wind E at 5 km/h, 87% Humidity
Population17,424 (2011)
University Reaseheath College
Date of Reg.
Date of Upd.
ID940382
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About Nantwich


Nantwich is a market town and civil parish in Cheshire, England. It is known for having among the highest concentrations of listed buildings in England, with particularly good examples of Tudor and Georgian architecture. In 2011, it had a population of 17,424.

Exit poll 2019: What is the forecast election result in your area?

Feb 16,2020 9:08 am

The Conservatives have won a majority of 80 in Parliament with all 650 seats declared.

The Exit poll had an initial forecast of 368 for the Conservatives and 191 for Labour. With all the results in the two parties had 365 and 203 seats respectively. Labour's figure includes the Speaker.

The SNP won 48 seats, against an initial forecast of 55, while the Liberal Democrats finished on 11, after being forecast to take 13 seats. Plaid Cymru took four seats, one More Than predicted.

Enter your postcode to find out The Final result for your constituency.

What is The Exit poll?

The Exit poll is a way of forecasting what may happen in The General election, after voting ends but before the results are known.

At this election researchers at 144 polling stations across England, Scotland and Wales asked people to indicate which way they voted. Scotland had only 12 sampling points so The Exit poll was harder to forecast than in other parts of the country.

A team of academics led by Sir John Curtice , professor of politics at Strathclyde University, used this and other data to estimate the vote share per party in each constituency And Then to forecast each party's likelihood of winning in any given seat.

All those individual probabilities were added together to arrive at The Forecast seat totals for each party.

The model was updated throughout The Night as results came in, so seat totals and individual constituency figures changed.

How To use this feature

The constituency search and seat-by-seat list did show exit poll forecasts for individual constituencies, apart from those in Northern Ireland . But those initial forecasts have been replaced by The Final figures.

Seat-by-seat

Explore results for all the constituencies across the UK.

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You can currently only view The Ten most marginal predictions and/or results. Please enable Javascript in your browser to see the full list and Filter options.

Filter : All seats Seats changing party Undeclared Conservative gain Conservative hold Labour gain Labour hold Liberal Democrat gain Liberal Democrat hold SNP gain SNP hold Green gain Green hold Plaid Cymru gain Plaid Cymru hold Independent gain Independent hold Brexit gain Others More Sort by: Smallest 2017 majority Result time result Declared at 03:29 Liberal Democrat gain from Scottish National Party 2019 2017 result Declared at 02:39 Scottish National Party hold 2019 2017 result Declared at 04:22 Conservative gain from Labour 2019 2017 result Declared at 05:04 Conservative gain from Labour 2019 2017 result Declared at 05:01 Conservative hold 2019 2017 result Declared at 04:45 Conservative gain from Labour 2019 2017 result Declared at 03:14 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative 2019 2017 result Declared at 04:21 Conservative gain from Labour 2019 2017 result Declared at 04:03 Scottish National Party hold 2019 2017 result Declared at 03:40 Scottish National Party hold 2019 2017

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If the chance of The Forecast outcome in a seat was 95% or higher, it was shown as a "likely" outcome. If it was between 80% and 94%, was a "possible" outcome.

Seats where the probability for any particular party winning was lower than 80% were shown as "Too Close to forecast".

When looking at the figures for The Exit poll, counting all the seats predicted for a particular party in the seat-by-seat view was unlikely to match the total for that party in the current forecast section.

This was because the seat totals are calculated by adding up the probabilities for that party, not by counting The Number of predicted constituency wins. Seats categorised as "Too Close to forecast" are not assigned to a party in the seat-by-seat view.

Produced by Christine Jeavans, design by Natalie Smart, development by Marcos Gurgel and Scott Jarvis .



Source of news: bbc.com

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