Heo Min-Seon

When can I see My Family ? Friends Have? A night have? A Holiday? Or even go Back To work? When can children go Back To school?

the lock feature will be crucial for the containment of the spread of the Corona Virus, but it causes considerable disturbance and distress to life around The World .

So, if you are raised?

There are big decisions for the governments to act if, to lift the restrictions on How To contain The Virus , and instead, like The Balance not to save a life today with long-term damage for the company.

This will be a long trip - Don 't think it will all be over in a couple of weeks.

"basically, we Don 't have a lot of not Very Good options, can you a day and everything will change, but things could open up," Dr Adam Kucharski from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told The Bbc .

We can not just Back To normal after the cases peak, or even after they are reduced to a very low level

The Best estimate of the proportion of infected people (and, potentially, immune) in the UK only 4%. Or, said another Way , More Than 63 million, are still vulnerable to the infection.

If we, the other explosive the eruption is only to lift the blocking, then inevitable.

The basics of The Virus have not changed - a person is infected, without a lockdown, pass on the other three, on average.

Cut these infections of 60-70%, what is the cost of the cases down. At The Moment , this means that our contact with people, the crowd.

If we lift social distancing measures to come then Something Else , in order to prevent to suppress The Virus , or at the very least, that people end up in the intensive care unit.

It can be, some will win easily, if countries cut already-infections by More Than 70%.

"There are signs that many countries went into lockdown, about in China, it is 80-90%," said Dr. Kucharski.

A high number is good for the collection of cases quickly from.

But it is also an opportunity to highlight some of the current restrictions, without leading to an increase in cases.

China, especially in the original epicenter of the pandemic, in Wuhan, had a hard and lengthy lockdown, including the shutdown of Public Transport . It is Not Yet clear how much room there is in other countries may or may not have.

Germany

Spain

Italy

Denmark

Austria

allows for massively increased testing for The Virus , the search for a strategy with the title "destroy".

identify cases. Test anyone they came in contact. And they isolate you before you are infectious.

It is remarkably similar to the approach at the beginning of the epidemic, as it hunted still relatively few imported cases.

this life successfully enough, and it is The Ability of The Virus to spread and the means that we do not need so hard, A Number of limitations in terms of day reduced-to-day.

"at The Moment , you need to increase, on average, 60-70% reduction in social interactions to the termination of the outbreak," said Dr. Kucharski.

"If we can get them to play that up to 30%, which gives you a lot More . "

But also massive Tests, normal life.

you would have other measures to prevent the disease in check, and this would have to be maintained, in the long term, The Fundamentals (a virus that spread and an at-risk population) would not change.

"It's a More moderate version, where We Are now," said Dr. Kucharski.

There is also the intensive work done quickly is to stay ahead of the infection (this is to identify where the talk of a smartphone app is coming in the cases), and The Method is most profitable, if cases on a low level.

a Different strategy is called "enhanced screening".

Rather than try to suppress the coronavirus, which on each section of the society, they could instead aim to stop it completely for those who is most At Risk .

age and other medical conditions, the strong, The Risk of Covid-19 increase always fatal.

The blocking does not prevent intensive care being overwhelmed, but is guaranteed to disadvantaged groups, could not be infected, achieve the same goal, even if the cases were spread wide, in the young and healthy.

Prof Mark Woolhouse, of the University of Edinburgh, said: "Very roughly speaking, for 80% of us who are not vulnerable, that is a nasty virus, it is certainly a significant health problem, but it would not overwhelm the health system, and it would not lock, company.

"If we really have a goiter, the shield, Make a very strong shield, in fact, then you can buy a lot More space and it can mean that you can relax some of the measures permanent. "

We Are already, and asked you to stay home for 12 weeks.

the increase might mean that all employees in hospitals, nursing homes, or who visit the elderly people with regular testing to ensure they are free of The Virus . In the ideal case, the antibody would prove to test that you are immune to it.

The danger is that More viruses might be circulating in the community, to control More difficult And Then these "shields" will come under severe pressure.

Some of the limitations have less of an effect on The Virus than others.

"There are certain interactions and activities, the overall, less risky," said Dr. Kucharski.

He argued for the lifting of various restrictions can be divided into three Categories - those with low, moderate, and substantial risk of increasing transmission of The Virus .

Low-risk outdoor Training, which is restricted in some countries.

Moderate would not let some of the open material transactions, or occasional meetings with persons outside of the household.

could be increased significantly, come from lifting advice to work from home, the re-opening of schools, or to isolate sick and quarantine household.

"I think the things went, will be in The Order of things repealed," he says.

But the measures, to lift, is a difficult Balancing Act . It is a combination of the advantages of society and the economy against the impact on the spread of The Virus .

Prof Neil Ferguson from Imperial College London, said: "We want to do, you will find A Collection of guidelines to maintain suppression of The Virus .

"Without a doubt, measures will be sought, probably according to age, geography, and we must introduce, in my view, greater levels of testing at the level of the community, to really isolate cases, More effective, and to identify, where the transmission happens. "

The idea of the immunity passes or certificates that constantly makes the rounds - if you already had the disease kill you a test and if you have antibodies to The Virus , then you can go about your daily life.

However, there are A Number of scientific challenges.

We Don 't have an accurate anti-body test. We Don 't know how long the immunity might last. And we know that, even if to prevent the antibodies that you are always sick, whether they be enough to stop you, host The Virus and spread it further.

Prof Ferguson has raised the proposed measures could be begun, until The End of may.

But it is also a decision about how far we can go with the suppression of The Virus after We Are gone, over at the top.

We travel were able to, levels down as low as possible and the very limited ability of The Virus to Bounce Back in a second wave. But The Trade -off is the maintenance of the lockdown for More .

" Or we could earlier exit lockdown and accept that a higher number of cases, removed bubbles, which creates its own problems.

It is also a decision on the question of whether to maintain a UK-wide approach to the lifting of the blocking, or whether measures may vary from region to region, or even within the cities of focus, where the outbreaks happen are.

The biggest thing to Come Along was, is a Vaccine - if the people were immunised, there would be no need for any social distancing measures. This is thought to be More Than a year away.

If a Vaccine does not come from (the people are hopeful, but it is necessary in the development of unprecedented speed), then the concept of herd immunity is in can kick.

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Source of news: bbc.com