The Hand

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Demonstrators in Tehran to take part in an anti-US rally after the assassination of Qasem Soleimani

The U.S. killing of a top Iranian general Qasem Soleimani , and Iran's retaliatory missile attack have increased fear of a conflict with far-reaching effects.

Who wins or loses from The Crisis could change quickly, depending on what the US and Iran do next.

So, who are The Winners and losers are?

Iran

in Spite of the loss of such a powerful military figure, could Iran is a short-term beneficiary of Qasem Soleimani , to kill.

The General 's death and The Massive funeral processions that followed, have to relocate it in Tehran, the attention of the public away from a rising gasoline prices in November.

It allows also to show Iran to mobilize its ability to, in a time of crisis, with its notoriously divided political elite to pull together.

Iran is under economic pressure from renewed US sanctions.

in The Past year, the escalated situation, after Iran and detained by shipping Tanker. It was also accused of sponsoring-missile-attacks - Something that denied it.

Iran has already hit America with a missile strike targeting U.S. troops in Iraq. The country could benefit if it comes to dragging any further retaliation and instead of playing more, public sympathy, and fear about the next.

But, if the country will take further measures, it can no longer be seen as a winner.

Depending on where and how Iran will retaliate Soleimani's death, Tehran, is looking for more a less a military force could find itself in a harmful military-the cycle of action and reaction with the United States .

Already heavy sanctions and Under Pressure to comply with the nuclear agreement, the continued escalation could be a further isolation of Iran are subject to.

The USA

The trump card-the bumps of Iran's military capabilities, while

It also has a message of strength and solidarity to allies such as Israel and Saudi Arabia .

US President Donald Trump said that Iran appeared to be "standing down" after rocket attacks on U.S. troops, bases in Iraq

But when it is drawn, in a tit-for-tat military action, could the increase in oil prices leads to a further loss of American lives and spark another long-running regional war.

This could be the East impact on many other Nations in The Middle and beyond.

Shia forces in Iraq

in the short term, Iran-supported Shiite militias in Iraq could benefit from the current crisis.

in The Past few months, the Iraqi government has been The Target of many, in addition to complaints of poor governance and Corruption .

The protesters represent a cross-section of society in Iraq

These militias - and the rest of Iraq to win back the political establishment - with the death of Soleimani, lost influence and legitimacy of their need to stay in the country.

Which has long been a slogan of these groups, and games in hand of their leader.

It is also a security creates-to use a vacuum for terrorist groups like IS and Al-Qaeda.

of Israel

Iran and Israel have long been In Conflict over their interests in the Middle East , and Iran to the desire for the elimination of the Jewish state.

From Israel's perspective, many threats still remain. To Iran, his support for Israel's enemies, such as Lebanon, the militant group Hezbollah, and the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

But the death of Soleimani's not in America show a growing intention to rein in Iran.

In Israel, that this is seen as a positive step that benefits the security interests against Iran and the groups it supports.

"Israel stands with the United States in its just struggle for peace, security and self-defense", " the country's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said after The Attack .

demonstrators will be in the Middle East

The impending danger of the conflict, governments in the Middle East an excuse to curb the protests in the region as a whole.

in particular, the curb on issues such as unemployment and Corruption , on the grounds of National Security .

demonstrators in Lebanon have been accused of inequality and Corruption

the governments could even go a step further and use the impending crisis to justify crackdowns on political activists and brakes on any attempts of political reform.

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are in a precarious position.

Both were intended directly affected by the last year, and encounters two large Saudi oil facilities, largely, to The Work of Iran or Iranian-backed forces. Iran denied any involvement.

The U.S. accuses Iran for a series of attacks on oil tankers in The Gulf of Oman in the last year

In answer, the attempted United Arab Emirates, to ease The Situation with Tehran, while Saudi Arabia continues to have the maximum pressure from Washington.

Since Soleimani is the kill, both countries have called for peace and de-escalation, as the Saudi defense Minister to travel to Washington for talks with trump management.

But the geographical proximity of Iran and the history of tensions makes them vulnerable to possible Iranian attack.

Europe

Already struggling to sustain the fragile Iran nuclear agreement, Europe remains in a difficult middle ground between the US and Iran.

the UK was given, warning of the drone strike, the Washington, what is on the ongoing TRANS-Atlantic tensions, or at least a lack of communication.

at The same time, co-operated in The Fight against A Number of European countries with troops in Iraq are liable to be drawn into the crossfire, there is, if Iran chooses a military response.

The Killing of Soleimani should finally remind us that the governance and regional stability, triggered a stay in the Arab Spring protests nearly a decade ago remain unresolved.

this piece

The analysis was a piece of.

Deputy head and senior research fellow of the Middle East and North Africa programs at Chatham House . Follow her

describes itself as an independent policy Institute to contribute to the development of a sustainably secure, prosperous and just world.

Edited by Eleanor Lawrie

qasem soleimani, expert network, iran, iran-us relations

Source of news: bbc.com