Brexit Party photograph

Brexit Party

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Founders Nigel Farage
Catherine Blaiklock
FoundedJanuary 20
2019
Date of Reg.
Date of Upd.
ID1408701
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About Brexit Party


The Brexit Party is a Eurosceptic political party in the United Kingdom. It became an active party in January 2019, and is currently led by Nigel Farage. The party has 29 Members of the European Parliament and four Welsh Assembly Members.

I'm a Celebrity hosts Ant and Dec call for 'no more politicians' on show

I'm a Celebrity hosts Ant and Dec call for 'no more politicians' on show
Dec 3,2023 11:51 am

... " In the jungle you re going to find the real me, " the former Ukip and Brexit Party leader promised viewers...

Reform UK denies claim it offered Tory Lee Anderson money to defect

Reform UK denies claim it offered Tory Lee Anderson money to defect
Nov 26,2023 9:11 am

... It was created from the ashes of the Brexit Party, which Mr Farage also used to lead, and supports lower taxes and " net zero" immigration - meaning the number legally allowed to come to the UK should equal the number emigrating...

I'm A Celebrity 2023: Nigel Farage promises to show viewers 'the real me'

I'm A Celebrity 2023: Nigel Farage promises to show viewers 'the real me'
Nov 19,2023 7:11 pm

... " In the jungle you re going to find the real me, " the former Ukip and Brexit Party leader promised viewers...

I'm A Celebrity 2023: This year's line-up from Nigel Farage to Nella Rose

I'm A Celebrity 2023: This year's line-up from Nigel Farage to Nella Rose
Nov 13,2023 5:21 pm

... Nigel FarageThe former Ukip and Brexit Party leader will follow in the footsteps of last year s political campmate, former health secretary Matt Hancock, who the public voted for to take part in numerous Bushtucker trials...

I'm a Celebrity 2023: The rumoured line-up from Nigel Farage to Jamie Lynn Spears

I'm a Celebrity 2023: The rumoured line-up from Nigel Farage to Jamie Lynn Spears
Nov 10,2023 9:01 am

... Nigel FarageThe former UKIP and Brexit Party leader would follow in the footsteps of another political campmate - former health secretary Matt Hancock, who the public voted to take part in numerous Bushtucker trials last yearIn July, over its inaccurate report about why his account at Coutts bank was closed...

Tories copying Reform UK rhetoric, not actions - Nigel Farage

Tories copying Reform UK rhetoric, not actions - Nigel Farage
Oct 7,2023 1:30 pm

... Mr Farage - who founded Reform from the ashes of the Brexit Party - was the star turn at its annual conference...

Nigel Farage leaves door open to re-joining Tories after election

Nigel Farage leaves door open to re-joining Tories after election
Oct 3,2023 12:51 pm

... On Sunday night, the former UKIP and Brexit Party leader was cheered to the rafters at a gala dinner for grassroots Conservatives, after Priti Patel hailed his role in delivering Brexit - and helping Boris Johnson win the 2019 general election by standing candidates down...

Tories imitating our policies, says Reform UK leader Richard Tice

Tories imitating our policies, says Reform UK leader Richard Tice
Oct 3,2023 9:51 am

...By Brian WheelerPolitical reporterType " Reform UK" into a search engine and the first question that comes up is " does Reform UK still exist? " The party that emerged from the ashes of the Brexit Party nearly three years ago - minus leader Nigel Farage - has had little mainstream media coverage...

Election results 2019: Opinion poll accuracy holds up

Sep 21,2023 12:51 pm

After several elections where the polls as a whole were not a good guide to the result, This Time they got it right.

The Final figures in the BBC Poll tracker were very close to the actual result, as the table below shows,

Poll accuracy (GB polls)PartyPredicted resultActual resultConservatives43%45%Labour33%33%Liberal Democrats12%12%SNP4%4%Greens3%3%Brexit3%2%Source for predicted result: BBC Poll tracker

That's a very good Performance - just a small underestimate of the Conservative share and a slight overestimate for the Brexit Party , with The Other parties on The Nose .

Many of The Polling companies had individual polls that were close to the result. But first prize should probably go jointly to Opinium and Ipsos Mori , whose final published polls were almost exactly correct.

There was some evidence of the polls narrowing in The Final couple of weeks but The Polling companies that showed that most were the least successful at estimating The Final result.

Furthermore, the polls were also consistently right to point to Conservative strength with Leave-supporting voters.

The biggest swings came in areas that had voted strongly for Brexit in the 2016 referendum - constituencies like Bassetlaw, Dudley North , Redcar and Great Grimsby. In areas that voted strongly for Remain, the Conservative vote share Fell .

Party support: 11 December 2019 Party Average (%) Likely range CON 43 (39-47) LAB 33 (29-37) LD 12 (8-16) SNP 4 --* BRX 3 (0-7) GRN 3 (0-7) PC 0 --* UKIP 0 --* TIGfC 0 --* Trend line showing Average voting intention, based on individual polls * Because the SNP and Plaid Cymru only campaign in Scotland and Wales respectively, and UKIP and The Independent Group for Change are standing candidates in so few areas, the margins of error for their support across Great Britain is likely to be less than +/- 1%

Still hard to predict seats

What proved much harder was using polls to forecast how many seats each party would win. That is always difficult because of the unpredictable nature of the first-past-the-post electoral system.

In 2017, YouGov's seat projection, using a technique called MRP (multi-level regression and post-stratification), was very successful. But This Time around, its final seat analysis wasn't So Close . Even where the share of the vote is known, it's not always possible to estimate accurately what The House of Commons will look like.

That's where came into its own - getting very close to an accurate prediction of the size of the Conservative majority.



Source of news: bbc.com

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