Brexit
Use attributes for filter ! | |
Reviews | www.imdb.com |
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Theatrical country of origin release date | United Kingdom |
Directors | Toby Haynes |
Music by | Daniel Pemberton |
Product compani | House Productions |
Networks | Channel 4 |
Produc | Lynn Horsford |
Cast | Benedict Cumberbatch |
Date of Reg. | |
Date of Upd. | |
ID | 1670912 |
About Brexit
With an intention to convince the British voters to leave the European Union, political strategist Dominic Cummings decides to start a controversial campaign.
UK net migration in 2022 revised up to record 745,000
... They said estimates showed a marked change in immigration since 2021 following Brexit - when free movement for EU nationals ended, the easing of travel restrictions after the pandemic and the war in Ukraine...
David Cameron returns: What is going on?
... The accidental instigator of the biggest single moment in British foreign policy in a generation - Brexit - is now the face of British foreign policy, under a Brexit-supporting prime minister...
Brexit: 'Call us' on trade, says German finance minister Christian Lindner
...By Faisal IslamEconomics editorThe German finance minister has extended a surprise invite to the UK to take " new steps" on post-Brexit trade relations with the European Union (EU)...
Serious concern over universities, says free speech boss
... In his speech at Kings College London on Monday, Prof Ahmed is expected to say he will protect people who want to express their views on " Brexit...
Nigel Farage leaves door open to re-joining Tories after election
... On Sunday night, the former UKIP and Brexit Party leader was cheered to the rafters at a gala dinner for grassroots Conservatives, after Priti Patel hailed his role in delivering Brexit - and helping Boris Johnson win the 2019 general election by standing candidates down...
Port of Dover to reclaim land from sea to prevent queues
... Over the past few years the Port of Dover has seen repeated incidents of queuing at its busiest times, with post-Brexit checks adding to waiting times...
Fact-checking claims about asylum seekers
... The scheme ended in the UK after Brexit - in January 2021...
UK inflation and interest rates high - how do other economies compare?
... Perhaps this is a result of changes in trading arrangements brought about by Brexit - and faltering investment...
Andrew Sabisky: What super forecasting is?
The Prime Minister 's chief adviser, Dominic Cummings , has told to journalists read "Philip Tetlock's super forecasters, instead of political experts who don't know what you're talking about".
His comments followed criticized the resignation of the Downing Street adviser Andrew Sabisky,.
Mr Sabisky himself has described as a super-forecaster.
What is super forecasting is?The idea behind a super-forecasting, some people tend to make better predictions - Even as experts in their respective field.
This could be anything, whether a currency is getting stronger, a country is invaded, other, or there is unrest in a city.
Andrew Sabisky resigned, says that he wanted to prove that a "distraction" How does it work?American psychologist Philip Tetlock came with The Good judgment project as part of a U.S. government competition to find better ways to predict.
He saw thousands of predictions by experts and found they were no better than if you had selected results on the coincidence principle, which he throw in the comparison to chimpanzees of darts on a Board.
Prof Tetlock then thousands of people to be asked to come up with numbers for the odds on A Number of things happened, such as a nuclear test by North Korea in the next three months.
A few months later, he chose The Most successful of the forecasters - and found, in the later exercises, they continued to make better predictions, as those of The Intelligence services, had access to secret information.
What the science is behind it?super forecasters calculate the probability of something happening And Then adjust so that in the case of a change of circumstances.
So, if one of them was looking at the chances of North Korea conducting a nuclear test, which was the Starting Point , the country had, on average, the tests every 30 months - which is a 10% chance would be a test in the next three months.
This number was doubled to 20%, because North Korea threatened was to perform tests.
super forecasters should be to keep particularly well, their personal opinions from the calculations.
The Other important component of The Method is that you take the estimated probabilities by A Number of super-forecasters, and an average of them to a final result.
How successful is it?let's look at a few of the great events in The Past few years have not been said in General before a British EU exit and the election of US President Donald Trump .
super forecasters did not accurately predict the UK's EU-exit, put the chances of a Leave the vote to 23% in June 2016 - the month of the referendum, according to Bloomberg.
you were previously told above was a few months before, but they had adapted, the probability of down.
But, super forecasters appears to have the race in 2016 - The First hurdle in the presidential.
The successes of other uses from super forecasting are harder to know.
But the idea could be useful in areas of finance, welfare associations, as they should distribute the relief goods.
And seek with the call, the U.S. secret service, the characteristics of the super-forecasters in the setting, rather than the prioritisation of candidate-types.
boris johnson, dominic cummings, conservative party, uk government, civil service
Source of news: bbc.com